Preseason Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#334
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.3#113
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#224
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-9.8#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 3.4% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 8.3% 37.2% 7.9%
.500 or above in Conference 19.4% 52.7% 19.0%
Conference Champion 1.0% 6.6% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 31.9% 11.6% 32.1%
First Four0.4% 3.2% 0.3%
First Round0.3% 2.3% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 1.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.70.0 - 0.7
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.6
Quad 20.1 - 2.10.1 - 3.7
Quad 30.9 - 6.31.0 - 10.0
Quad 46.8 - 10.17.9 - 20.1


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 61   @ South Carolina L 65-85 1%    
  Nov 14, 2018 310   @ VMI L 75-78 29%    
  Nov 21, 2018 241   @ Portland L 72-79 17%    
  Nov 23, 2018 203   Texas St. L 66-75 20%    
  Nov 24, 2018 317   Cal Poly L 74-76 42%    
  Nov 28, 2018 218   Gardner-Webb L 72-80 32%    
  Dec 01, 2018 211   @ Western Michigan L 73-82 15%    
  Dec 05, 2018 273   @ Eastern Kentucky L 75-81 22%    
  Dec 08, 2018 123   Furman L 70-85 15%    
  Dec 15, 2018 348   South Carolina St. W 82-78 73%    
  Dec 22, 2018 38   @ North Carolina St. L 73-95 2%    
  Jan 02, 2019 113   @ Georgia Tech L 64-79 6%    
  Jan 05, 2019 319   @ Presbyterian L 72-74 33%    
  Jan 10, 2019 149   Radford L 64-77 20%    
  Jan 12, 2019 218   @ Gardner-Webb L 72-80 17%    
  Jan 16, 2019 255   @ High Point L 71-77 22%    
  Jan 19, 2019 194   Winthrop L 76-86 29%    
  Jan 21, 2019 319   Presbyterian L 72-74 53%    
  Jan 24, 2019 240   @ Hampton L 78-85 19%    
  Jan 26, 2019 333   Longwood L 76-77 59%    
  Jan 30, 2019 294   @ UNC Asheville L 75-79 27%    
  Feb 02, 2019 232   Charleston Southern L 71-79 35%    
  Feb 09, 2019 254   @ Campbell L 75-81 22%    
  Feb 13, 2019 294   UNC Asheville L 75-79 45%    
  Feb 16, 2019 333   @ Longwood L 76-77 39%    
  Feb 21, 2019 232   @ Charleston Southern L 71-79 18%    
  Feb 27, 2019 254   Campbell L 75-81 39%    
  Mar 02, 2019 240   Hampton L 78-85 36%    
Projected Record 7.9 - 20.1 5.1 - 10.9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.5 0.8 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.3 5.5 1.3 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 5.2 5.8 2.1 0.1 14.5 9th
10th 0.2 2.6 6.3 6.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 18.4 10th
11th 2.1 6.0 7.0 5.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 22.0 11th
Total 2.1 6.2 9.6 12.7 14.2 13.2 12.6 9.9 7.3 5.2 3.2 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 99.3% 0.1    0.1
14-2 98.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 61.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 21.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 9.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 39.0% 39.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 19.3% 19.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.4% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 1.2% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.1
11-5 1.9% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.1 1.8
10-6 3.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
9-7 5.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.1
8-8 7.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.3
7-9 9.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.9
6-10 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
5-11 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
4-12 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.2
3-13 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.7
2-14 9.6% 9.6
1-15 6.2% 6.2
0-16 2.1% 2.1
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%